Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Daily Market Analysis 20150715

Market Overview

Most Of the major indexes gain and now above their 50 days moving averages


Bullish percent index rebound from the low

From Briefing.com

[BRIEFING.COM] The major average registered their fourth consecutive advance on Tuesday with the S&P 500 climbing 0.5%. The benchmark index reclaimed its 50-day moving average (2,100) at the start of the session while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (+0.7%) outperformed throughout the trading day. 

Equity indices began near their flat lines after overnight reports from Vienna revealed that P5+1 negotiators agreed to a nuclear deal with Iranian representatives. The news had little impact on the market, but crude oil was down about 2.0% overnight amid expectations that global oil supplies will increase once Iran begins selling its oil on the open market. However, an intraday rebound resulted in crude oil climbing 1.7% to $53.06/bbl. Accordingly, the energy sector (+0.8%) climbed alongside crude oil to end the day among the leaders, while only the health care sector (+1.0%) had a better showing. 

The influential health care space finished the day well ahead of other countercyclical groups even though Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 99.78, -0.49) slumped 0.5% despite reporting a two-cent beat. However, biotechnology filled the void withiShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 387.94, +8.79) spiking 2.3%, which contributed to the relative strength in the Nasdaq. 

Furthermore, high-beta chipmakers also helped the Nasdaq stay ahead of the broader market with the PHLX Semiconductor Index rallying 1.1%. Micron (MU 19.61, +2.00) was the standout performer, soaring 11.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported Micron may have received a $21.00/share takeover offer from Tsinghua Unigroup. As for large cap tech names, Apple (AAPL 125.61, -0.05), Microsoft (MSFT 45.62, +0.08), and Oracle (ORCL 40.78, -0.02) ended near their flat lines while Google (GOOGL 584.18, +12.45) outperformed, climbing 2.2%. 

Elsewhere among cyclical sectors, financials (+0.4%) spent the day behind the broader market even though JPMorgan Chase(JPM 69.04, +0.95) and Wells Fargo (WFC 57.25, +0.51) posted respective gains of 1.4% and 0.9% in reaction to earnings. JPMorgan Chase delivered a bottom-line beat on below-consensus revenue while Wells Fargo matched earnings expectations on revenue that missed estimates. 

On the downside, the utilities sector (-0.1%) was the lone decliner, narrowing its July gain to 3.6%. 

Treasuries spiked in the morning following a disappointing Retail Sales report. The 10-yr note settled just below its high with the benchmark yield falling five basis points to 2.40%. 

Today's participation was in-line with recent totals as 680 million shares changed hands at the NYSE floor.  

Economic data included Retail Sales, Import/Export Prices, and Business Inventories: 
  • Retail sales declined 0.3% in June after increasing a downwardly revised 1.0% (from 1.2%) in May while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.3% 
    • The motor vehicle manufacturers reported that unit sales declined to 17.2 million SAAR in June from 17.8 million SAAR in May, which translated into a sizable 1.1% decline in sales at motor vehicles and parts dealers 
    • Excluding motor vehicles, retail sales declined 0.1% in June after increasing a downwardly revised 0.8% (from 1.0%) in May while the consensus expected an increase of 0.5% 
    • Core sales, which exclude motor vehicle dealers, gasoline stations, and building material and supply stores, declined 0.1% in June after increasing 0.6% in May 
  • Export prices, excluding agriculture, decreased 0.1% in June after increasing 0.7% in the prior reading 
    • Excluding oil, import prices decreased 0.2%, which followed last month's unchanged reading 
  • Business inventories increased 0.3% in May after increasing an unrevised 0.4% in April while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.2% 
    • The inventory changes from manufacturers (0.0%) and merchant wholesalers (0.8%) were known prior to the release. The only new information was that retailer inventories were flat in May after increasing 0.6% in April. 
    • Inventory declines from motor vehicle and parts retailers (-0.2%) and furniture and appliances retailers (-0.3%) were offset by increases from general merchandise stores (0.5%) and building material and supply stores (0.2%) 
Source (Briefing.com)

Market Diaries


Market Mover

Most of tech companies slumps due to weaker earnings, such as AMD, Tesla, Micron, while airline improve, banking like JPM & Wells fargo profit surge, railroad CSX corporation also beats estimate. PepsiCo beats estimate, yum brand growth slows due to China slowth

China GDP growth beats estimate at 7%. and housing price increase by 12%, while Japan GDP outlook is +1.7% from 2%. and Japan keeps monatery policy unchanged as expected.

Earning in focus for today would be from BAC, Netflix, Intel, Delta Airlines.

Oil was down 2% last night, but today it;s up more than $53. 

Forecast

Expect to see some good progress over the Greece, Direction for Wednesday is UP

Forecast accuracy 100% (2/2)

No comments:

Post a Comment