Friday, March 11, 2016

Market Analysis Mar10 2016

market Overview- Dolalr index start to decline, 



Sentiment Survey is getting better



market breadth indicator shows breakout on adv/decline..



Money supply Indicator indicates slightly correction in march


Money flow into equity start to see some positive figures after 2-3 months negatives money flow


Friday, July 17, 2015

Kebahagiaan tuk yang bersukur

Jika kekayaan bisa membuat orang bahagia, tentunya Adolf Merckle, orang terkaya dari Jerman, tidak akan menabrakkan badannya ke kereta api.

Jika ketenaran bisa membuat orang bahagia, tentunya Michael Jackson, penyanyi terkenal di USA, tidak akan meminum obat tidur hingga overdosis.

Jika kekuasaan bisa membuat orang bahagia, tentunya G. Vargas, presiden Brazil, tidak akan menembak jantungnya sendiri.

Jika kecantikan bisa membuat orang bahagia, tentunya Marilyn Monroe, artis cantik dari USA, tidak akan meminum alkohol dan obat depresi hingga overdosis.

Jika kesehatan bisa membuat orang bahagia, tentunya Thierry Costa, dokter terkenal dari Perancis, tidak akan bunuh diri, akibat sebuah acara di televisi.

Ternyata, bahagia atau tidaknya hidup seseorang itu, bukan ditentukan oleh seberapa kayanya, tenarnya, cantiknya, kuasanya, sehatnya atau sesukses apapun hidupnya.

Tapi yang bisa membuat seseorang itu bahagia adalah dirinya sendiri.. mampukah ia mau mensyukuri semua yang sudah dimilikinya dalam segala hal…

"Kalau kebahagiaan bisa dibeli, pasti orang-orang kaya akan membeli kebahagiaan itu. dan kita akan sulit mendapatkan kebahagiaan karena sudah diborong oleh mereka."

"Kalau kebahagiaan itu ada di suatu tempat, pasti di belahan lain di bumi ini akan kosong karena semua orang akan ke sana berkumpul di mana kebahagiaan itu berada ."

Untungnya kebahagiaan itu berada di dalam hati setiap manusia. Jadi kita tidak perlu membeli atau pergi mencari kebahagiaan itu.

Yang kita butuhkan adalah Hati yang Bersih dan Ikhlas serta Pikiran yang Jernih, maka kita bisa menciptakan rasa "Bahagia" itu kapan pun, di manapun dan dengan kondisi apapun."

Kebahagiaan itu milik Orang-orang yang dapat Bersyukur.

Daily Market Analysis -20150717

Market Overview

all the 3 indexes were up altogether with those european indexes after some good news from Greece.

What was happening

[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market finished Thursday on a higher note with the Nasdaq Composite (+1.3%) and S&P 500 (+0.8%) posting solid gains while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.4%) ended the day closer to its flat line.

Equity indices spiked at the start, responding to overnight strength in the futures market. Shortly after yesterday's close, Intel (INTC 29.90, +0.21) and Netflix (NFLX 115.81, +17.68) reported better than expected results, which led to a surge in Nasdaq futures in particular.

Earnings notwithstanding, Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures received a second boost after the Greek parliament voted 229-64-6 in favor of austerity measures that will allow bailout negotiations to continue with the country expected to receive EUR86 billion in rescue funds. Furthermore, the European Central Bank, which held a policy meeting today, raised the country's allowance to Emergency Liquidity Assistance by EUR900 million, which will pave the way for Greek banks to open as soon as Monday.

As the U.S. opening bell approached, the focus shifted back to earnings with Citigroup (C 58.59, +2.13) and Goldman Sachs (GS 211.18, -1.78) reporting better than expected results. However, Goldman Sachs spent the day in negative territory, snapping its five-day streak. Still, the financial sector (+1.0%) ended among today's leaders, but Goldman's relative weakness kept the Dow under pressure.

Likewise, UnitedHealth (UNH 124.93, -0.93) also pressured the Dow despite reporting better than expected results. The stock narrowed its loss to 0.7% by day's end after being down as much as 3.1% following yesterday's record close. Furthermore, UnitedHealth pressured the health care sector (+0.5%), but hospital names also weighed. For instance, Community Health (CYH 60.99, -1.42) and Universal Health (UHS 141.25, -1.18) lost 2.3% and 0.8%, respectively, after Keybanc Capital Markets downgraded both listings to 'Sector Weight' from 'Overweight.' Biotechnology, however, picked up the slack with iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 395.67, +4.91) climbing 1.3%. That strength, combined with a solid showing from the technology sector (+1.3%) kept the Nasaq ahead of the broader market throughout the day.

Large cap technology components like Apple (AAPL 128.51, +1.69), Google (GOOGL 601.78, +17.82) and Microsoft (MSFT 46.66, +0.90) climbed between 1.3% and 3.1% while Intel alternated between gains and losses before settling higher by 0.7%. Other chipmakers struggled, evidenced by the PHLX Semiconductor Index, which eked out a modest gain (+0.2%).

Overall five sectors ended ahead of the broader market, but only two cyclical groups displayed relative strength while consumer staples (+1.0%), telecom services (+1.4%), and utilities (+1.5%) outperformed on the countercyclical side.

On the downside, the materials sector (-0.3%) spent the day in negative territory amid broad weakness while the energy sector (+0.1%) was able to stay in the green even though crude oil fell 1.0% to $50.91/bbl.

Treasuries displayed losses during overnight action, but a morning recovery returned the benchmark 10-yr yield to unchanged by the close (2.35%).

Today's participation was a bit lighter than yesterday with 723 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data included Initial Claims, NAHB Housing Market Index, and Philadelphia Fed Survey: 
  • The initial claims level declined to 281,000 for the week ending July 11 from a downwardly revised 296,000 (from 297,000) while the Briefing.com consensus expected a decline to 283,000 
    • The four-week moving average increased to 282,500 from 279,250, which is the first time that the four-week moving has surpassed 280,000 since the end of April 
    • The continuing claims level decreased to 2.215 mln for the week ending July 4 from a downwardly revised 2.327 mln (from 2.334 mln) while the consensus expected a decrease to 2.285 mln 
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for July rose to 60 from 59 while the Briefing.com consensus expected the index to hold at 59
  • The Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey declined to 5.7 in July from 15.2 in June while the Briefing.com consensus expected a drop to 12.5 
    • There was a general softening in manufacturing conditions across all areas with four out of the nine survey subcomponents contracting in July 
    • The Shipments Index declined to 4.4 in July from 14.3 while Employment conditions were notably weak 
      • The Number of Employees Index turned negative, falling from 3.8 in June to -0.4 in July 
      • The Average Employee Workweek Index dropped to 4.0 from 4.7 
Tomorrow, June CPI (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%) and June Housing Starts (consensus 1.12 million)/Building Permits (expected 1.15 million) will be reported at 8:30 ET while the preliminary reading of the Michigan Sentiment Index for July (consensus 96.5) will be released at 10:00 ET.
Source(Briefing.com)

Market Diaries

Money Supply
Money supply at commercial bank & thrift institution were down, this is a sign of another upcoming market correction.

Technical Analysis

Support: 18000
Resistance18200

Earning Watch
Google, netflix, intel and banking (BAC, C, GS, JPM) shows great outlook.

Forecast
With light news limited to CPI & michigan Survey, I reckon there will be some proift taking on the market. 
Direction for Friday is Down

Accuracy 75% (3/4)